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It failed its own conformance gate P3 before play (its README example scored outside tolerance), so its scores cannot be mapped 1:1 to the option sets (preregistered rule D15). The champion rule was therefore computed against the two external competitors that played."}],"champion":{"champion":"T-dual Burst","externals":["Jev","SemIf-4B"],"rule":"Mean over the 3 games of the paired per-seed win rate against the external competitors only; ties: sum of RMST ≤ 60 s, then mean level at failure.","table":[{"label":"T-dual Burst","per_game":{"snake":0.825,"rotorwash_ramp":0.95,"booster_gauntlet":1.0},"composite":0.925,"rmst_sum":56.23,"mean_level":2.4,"rank":1},{"label":"ENORMOUS-CL","per_game":{"snake":0.875,"rotorwash_ramp":0.85,"booster_gauntlet":0.95},"composite":0.8917,"rmst_sum":48.92,"mean_level":2.17,"rank":2},{"label":"T-dual K-call","per_game":{"snake":0.8,"rotorwash_ramp":0.75,"booster_gauntlet":1.0},"composite":0.85,"rmst_sum":50.14,"mean_level":2.23,"rank":3},{"label":"ENORMOUS-old","per_game":{"snake":0.775,"rotorwash_ramp":0.8,"booster_gauntlet":0.45},"composite":0.675,"rmst_sum":33.32,"mean_level":1.47,"rank":4}]},"pairwise":{"snake":{"t_dual/chord":{"t_dual/kcall":0.5,"enormous_cl/kcall":0.4,"enormous_old/kcall":0.6,"jev/vendor_single":0.7,"semif_4b/kcall":0.95},"t_dual/kcall":{"t_dual/chord":0.5,"enormous_cl/kcall":0.3,"enormous_old/kcall":0.65,"jev/vendor_single":0.7,"semif_4b/kcall":0.9},"enormous_cl/kcall":{"t_dual/chord":0.6,"t_dual/kcall":0.7,"enormous_old/kcall":0.65,"jev/vendor_single":0.9,"semif_4b/kcall":0.85},"enormous_old/kcall":{"t_dual/chord":0.4,"t_dual/kcall":0.35,"enormous_cl/kcall":0.35,"jev/vendor_single":0.7,"semif_4b/kcall":0.85},"jev/vendor_single":{"t_dual/chord":0.3,"t_dual/kcall":0.3,"enormous_cl/kcall":0.1,"enormous_old/kcall":0.3,"semif_4b/kcall":0.5},"semif_4b/kcall":{"t_dual/chord":0.05,"t_dual/kcall":0.1,"enormous_cl/kcall":0.15,"enormous_old/kcall":0.15,"jev/vendor_single":0.5}},"rotorwash_ramp":{"t_dual/chord":{"t_dual/kcall":0.9,"enormous_cl/kcall":0.8,"enormous_old/kcall":0.9,"jev/vendor_single":0.9,"semif_4b/kcall":1.0},"t_dual/kcall":{"t_dual/chord":0.1,"enormous_cl/kcall":0.5,"enormous_old/kcall":0.6,"jev/vendor_single":0.5,"semif_4b/kcall":1.0},"enormous_cl/kcall":{"t_dual/chord":0.2,"t_dual/kcall":0.5,"enormous_old/kcall":0.5,"jev/vendor_single":0.7,"semif_4b/kcall":1.0},"enormous_old/kcall":{"t_dual/chord":0.1,"t_dual/kcall":0.4,"enormous_cl/kcall":0.5,"jev/vendor_single":0.6,"semif_4b/kcall":1.0},"jev/vendor_single":{"t_dual/chord":0.1,"t_dual/kcall":0.5,"enormous_cl/kcall":0.3,"enormous_old/kcall":0.4,"semif_4b/kcall":1.0},"semif_4b/kcall":{"t_dual/chord":0.0,"t_dual/kcall":0.0,"enormous_cl/kcall":0.0,"enormous_old/kcall":0.0,"jev/vendor_single":0.0}},"booster_gauntlet":{"t_dual/chord":{"t_dual/kcall":0.55,"enormous_cl/kcall":0.7,"enormous_old/kcall":1.0,"jev/vendor_single":1.0,"semif_4b/kcall":1.0},"t_dual/kcall":{"t_dual/chord":0.45,"enormous_cl/kcall":0.7,"enormous_old/kcall":1.0,"jev/vendor_single":1.0,"semif_4b/kcall":1.0},"enormous_cl/kcall":{"t_dual/chord":0.3,"t_dual/kcall":0.3,"enormous_old/kcall":1.0,"jev/vendor_single":0.9,"semif_4b/kcall":1.0},"enormous_old/kcall":{"t_dual/chord":0.0,"t_dual/kcall":0.0,"enormous_cl/kcall":0.0,"jev/vendor_single":0.0,"semif_4b/kcall":0.9},"jev/vendor_single":{"t_dual/chord":0.0,"t_dual/kcall":0.0,"enormous_cl/kcall":0.1,"enormous_old/kcall":1.0,"semif_4b/kcall":0.9},"semif_4b/kcall":{"t_dual/chord":0.0,"t_dual/kcall":0.0,"enormous_cl/kcall":0.0,"enormous_old/kcall":0.1,"jev/vendor_single":0.1}}},"out_order":{"snake":{"0":[[6.0,"SemIf-4B"],[6.5,"ENORMOUS-old"],[6.5,"T-dual Burst"],[6.5,"T-dual K-call"],[7.0,"Jev"],[12.5,"ENORMOUS-CL"]],"1":[[4.5,"SemIf-4B"],[7.0,"Jev"],[10.0,"T-dual Burst"],[12.5,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[12.5,"T-dual K-call"],[15.5,"ENORMOUS-old"]],"2":[[3.5,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[4.5,"SemIf-4B"],[5.5,"ENORMOUS-old"],[9.5,"T-dual Burst"],[10.0,"T-dual K-call"],[24.0,"Jev"]],"3":[[3.5,"Jev"],[4.5,"SemIf-4B"],[4.5,"T-dual Burst"],[6.0,"ENORMOUS-old"],[10.0,"T-dual K-call"],[11.0,"ENORMOUS-CL"]],"4":[[2.0,"Jev"],[7.0,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[7.0,"SemIf-4B"],[10.0,"ENORMOUS-old"],[10.0,"T-dual Burst"],[10.0,"T-dual K-call"]],"5":[[5.0,"Jev"],[5.5,"ENORMOUS-old"],[5.5,"SemIf-4B"],[9.5,"T-dual K-call"],[10.5,"T-dual Burst"],[11.0,"ENORMOUS-CL"]],"6":[[4.5,"Jev"],[5.0,"ENORMOUS-old"],[5.5,"T-dual K-call"],[6.5,"SemIf-4B"],[11.0,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[13.0,"T-dual Burst"]],"7":[[4.5,"SemIf-4B"],[10.0,"ENORMOUS-old"],[10.0,"T-dual Burst"],[10.0,"T-dual K-call"],[19.5,"Jev"],[22.0,"ENORMOUS-CL"]],"8":[[2.5,"Jev"],[4.5,"SemIf-4B"],[6.5,"ENORMOUS-old"],[10.0,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[10.0,"T-dual Burst"],[10.0,"T-dual K-call"]],"9":[[4.5,"SemIf-4B"],[14.0,"Jev"],[15.5,"T-dual K-call"],[16.0,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[16.0,"ENORMOUS-old"],[16.0,"T-dual Burst"]]},"rotorwash_ramp":{"0":[[3.721,"SemIf-4B"],[12.867,"ENORMOUS-old"],[15.367,"T-dual K-call"],[19.492,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[20.079,"Jev"],[24.754,"T-dual Burst"]],"1":[[3.538,"SemIf-4B"],[13.65,"Jev"],[14.042,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[15.196,"ENORMOUS-old"],[21.167,"T-dual K-call"],[21.283,"T-dual Burst"]],"2":[[4.171,"SemIf-4B"],[10.646,"Jev"],[12.721,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[16.529,"ENORMOUS-old"],[23.254,"T-dual K-call"],[25.671,"T-dual Burst"]],"3":[[4.171,"SemIf-4B"],[11.938,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[13.992,"ENORMOUS-old"],[19.121,"Jev"],[23.283,"T-dual K-call"],[26.404,"T-dual Burst"]],"4":[[3.658,"SemIf-4B"],[12.521,"Jev"],[13.042,"ENORMOUS-old"],[16.512,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[22.192,"T-dual K-call"],[28.871,"T-dual Burst"]],"5":[[3.758,"SemIf-4B"],[15.046,"T-dual K-call"],[15.712,"Jev"],[18.392,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[21.962,"ENORMOUS-old"],[31.558,"T-dual Burst"]],"6":[[3.742,"SemIf-4B"],[9.388,"Jev"],[12.229,"ENORMOUS-old"],[13.062,"T-dual Burst"],[19.692,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[26.596,"T-dual K-call"]],"7":[[4.146,"SemIf-4B"],[11.117,"T-dual K-call"],[12.575,"T-dual Burst"],[15.979,"ENORMOUS-old"],[26.208,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[33.762,"Jev"]],"8":[[3.854,"SemIf-4B"],[14.225,"T-dual K-call"],[14.45,"Jev"],[17.996,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[21.279,"ENORMOUS-old"],[28.371,"T-dual Burst"]],"9":[[3.617,"SemIf-4B"],[11.188,"T-dual K-call"],[16.804,"ENORMOUS-old"],[17.183,"Jev"],[17.4,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[29.75,"T-dual Burst"]]},"booster_gauntlet":{"0":[[8.75,"ENORMOUS-old"],[8.95,"Jev"],[9.55,"SemIf-4B"],[22.0,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[22.0,"T-dual Burst"],[22.0,"T-dual K-call"]],"1":[[4.4,"SemIf-4B"],[8.95,"ENORMOUS-old"],[9.0,"Jev"],[22.0,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[22.0,"T-dual Burst"],[22.0,"T-dual K-call"]],"2":[[4.65,"SemIf-4B"],[8.15,"ENORMOUS-old"],[8.2,"Jev"],[15.3,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[22.0,"T-dual Burst"],[22.0,"T-dual K-call"]],"3":[[4.7,"SemIf-4B"],[8.85,"ENORMOUS-old"],[8.9,"Jev"],[19.0,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[22.0,"T-dual Burst"],[22.0,"T-dual K-call"]],"4":[[4.6,"SemIf-4B"],[8.35,"ENORMOUS-old"],[8.45,"Jev"],[22.0,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[22.0,"T-dual Burst"],[22.0,"T-dual K-call"]],"5":[[4.65,"SemIf-4B"],[8.35,"ENORMOUS-old"],[17.05,"Jev"],[22.0,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[22.0,"T-dual Burst"],[22.0,"T-dual K-call"]],"6":[[4.65,"SemIf-4B"],[8.5,"ENORMOUS-old"],[12.3,"Jev"],[17.25,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[20.5,"T-dual K-call"],[22.0,"T-dual Burst"]],"7":[[4.85,"SemIf-4B"],[8.45,"ENORMOUS-old"],[9.05,"Jev"],[22.0,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[22.0,"T-dual Burst"],[22.0,"T-dual K-call"]],"8":[[4.7,"SemIf-4B"],[9.95,"ENORMOUS-old"],[14.8,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[15.05,"Jev"],[22.0,"T-dual Burst"],[22.0,"T-dual K-call"]],"9":[[4.65,"SemIf-4B"],[8.55,"ENORMOUS-old"],[8.6,"Jev"],[22.0,"ENORMOUS-CL"],[22.0,"T-dual Burst"],[22.0,"T-dual K-call"]]}},"confirmation":{"title":"Burst vs Jev on fresh seeds","player":"Nagi-ENORMOUS Burst","same_as":"T-dual Burst","same_note":"The released name of T-dual Burst: the same weights and byte-identical prompts (variant A of the preregistration), served on the same pinned H100 path.","opponent":"Jev","seeds":"10–33","n_per_game":{"snake":24,"rotorwash_ramp":24,"booster_gauntlet":24},"estimand":"Θ = mean over the 3 games of the paired per-seed win rate of Burst against Jev (fail later = 1, tie = ½); 95% t interval over the 24 seed indices (t with 23 df on the per-index game mean).","theta":0.6736111111111112,"lb975":0.577429612891048,"ub975":0.7697926093311743,"se":0.04649464354837324,"df":23,"method":"t_23 on c_i (no dropped index)","gates":{"V_rt":{"passed":true,"replay_exact":true,"voids":0,"rule":"records replay exactly, every cell valid, seeds 0–9 equal Board 1, identical serving path"},"R_RT":{"passed":true,"H0":"Theta <= 0.35","lb975":0.577429612891048,"rule":"lower 97.5% bound > 0.35, i.e. not clearly worse than Jev"},"C1":{"passed":true,"lb975":0.577429612891048,"signflip_p":0.001809981900180998,"rule":"lower 97.5% bound > 0.50 and sign-flip p ≤ 0.025"}},"per_game":{"snake":{"W":0.4583333333333333,"n":24,"lb":0.2526263177861815,"signflip_p":0.7355126448735513,"holm_alpha":0.025,"passed":false,"rmst":9.333333333333334,"rmst_ci95":[7.1454563244616836,11.521210342204984],"rmst_jev":10.666666666666666,"rmst_jev_ci95":[7.929440746042799,13.403892587290533],"at_wall":{"burst":2,"jev":1},"cause":null},"rotorwash_ramp":{"W":0.5833333333333334,"n":24,"lb":0.3368341926480352,"signflip_p":0.2699273007269927,"holm_alpha":0.0125,"passed":false,"rmst":23.075666666666667,"rmst_ci95":[20.679660722339516,25.471672610993817],"rmst_jev":21.495083333333337,"rmst_jev_ci95":[17.304650223802625,25.68551644286405],"at_wall":null,"cause":null},"booster_gauntlet":{"W":0.9791666666666666,"n":24,"lb":0.9253746417019976,"signflip_p":9.99990000099999e-06,"holm_alpha":0.008333333333333333,"passed":true,"rmst":22.0,"rmst_ci95":null,"rmst_jev":12.260416666666666,"rmst_jev_ci95":[10.640742073405688,13.880091259927644],"at_wall":{"burst":24,"jev":1},"cause":"All 24 of Burst's rounds were hop timeouts at 22.0 s (still flying, first hop not landed). Jev crashed before 22.0 s in 23 of 24 rounds (landing without legs, torn legs or breakup) and timed out in 1."}},"c2_rule":"tested only because C1 passed: Holm over the 3 games at one-sided 0.025, t and sign-flip both at the Holm level","screen_0_9":{"vs_jev":{"theta":0.8666666666666667,"lb975":0.6999394105374099,"ub975":1.0333939227959235},"retest_vs_board1":{"theta":0.43333333333333335,"lb975":0.26285892942457956,"ub975":0.6038077372420871},"label":"screen, n = 10, not confirmatory"},"decision":"RELEASE","receipts":{"release_decision.json":"e820a29e6596d8dee6d7919bc2d420933fdb6cff9977eb254e81a5da607a47d9","results.json":"cb4875716db62396419e2675aa6f72183140ce1984869f0edfb2e351196407e4"}}}
